Amplify Trading Weekly Strategy Report: 30th September – 4th October 2019

Amplify Trading Weekly Strategy Report: 30th September – 4th October 2019

Calendar Highlights

Monday: JN Industrial Production, Retail Sales, Housing Starts, Construction Orders, CN Manufacturing (+ Caixin), Non-Manufacturing PMI, AU Housing Credit, NZ ANZ Business Confidence, GE Import Price Index, Unemployment Rate/Change, CPI, SP CPI, Current Account, IT Monthly Unemployment Rate, CPI, GDP (Q2 F), Business Investment, Current Account, Mortgage Approvals, M4 Money Supply, Consumer Credit, EU Unemployment Rate, US Chicago PMI, Dallas Fed Manufacturing Business Index, UK Conservative Party Conference

Tuesday: JN Tankan Small/Large Manufacturing Index, Unemployment Rate, Manufacturing PMI, CN Holiday, AU RBA Interest Rate Decision, Manufacturing PMI, Building Approvals, SP/FR/GE/EU Manufacturing PMI (F), GE Market Holiday (Unification Day), EU Flash CPI, UK Manufacturing PMI, Nationwide HPI, US & ISM Manufacturing PMI, Construction Spending, Weekly Oil Inventories, CA GDP, RBC Manufacturing PMI, NZ GDT Price Index (tentative), Fed's Evans, Bowman, Clarida, ECB's Weidmann Speaks, UK Conservative Party Conference

Wednesday: JN Household Confidence, CN Holiday, SP Unemployment Rate, 5-yr Auction, UK Construction PMI, BoE FPC Meeting Minutes, US ADP Non-Farm Employment Index, ISM NY Business Conditions, Weekly DoE Oil Inventories, Fed's Barkin, Harker, Williams Speak, UK Conservative Party Conference (PM Speech)

Thursday: JN Services PMI, CN Holiday, AU Trade Balance, SP/FR/GE/EU/UK Service PMI, SP 3/5/10-yr Auction, EU PPI, Retail Sales, UK 10-yr Auction, US Weekly Jobless, Challenger Job Cuts, Factory Orders, ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI, Total Vehicle Sales, BoJ's Funo, Fed's Evans, Rosengren, Mester, Kaplan, Quarles, ECB's Rehn, De Guindos, BoE's Tenreyro Speak

Friday: CN Holiday, AU RBA Financial Stability Report, Retail Sales, FR Govt Budget Balance, US Change Non-Farm Payrolls, Unemployment Rate, Avg Hourly Earnings, Baker Hughes Rig Count, CA Trade Balance, ECB's De Guindos, Fed's Bostic Speak

MACRO OVERVIEW - Anthony Cheung, Head of Market Analysis (@AWMCheung)

An overview of the topics discussed in today's market briefing can be found below. Click on the time stamps to jump to specific sections of interest.

  • An overview of the main calendar highlights for the week (00:00)

  • Chinese factory outlook improves ahead of high level talks (05:45)

  • Update on the latest news regarding the on-going US/China trade war (09:46)

  • US repo rates likely back in vogue but this time it's different (11:42)

  • Saudi Crown Prince talks down confrontation with Iran (13:09)

  • DUP provides the latest blow to UK PM Johnson as Tory Party conference gets underway (14:05)

  • Sam North provides his technical review across the charts (18:28)

TECHNICAL OVERVIEW – Sam North, Associate (@snorth19)

S&P 500 futures

WTI Crude Oil Futures

GBPUSD Futures

EURUSD Futures

If you have any questions about the strategy, please feel free to email me directly or private message us on Twitter.

Have a great week and see you in the room.


Anthony & Sam

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