Amplify Weekly Strategy: 1st - 5th July 2019

Amplify Weekly Strategy: 1st - 5th July 2019

CALENDAR HIGHLIGHTS


Monday: AU Manufacturing PMI, JN Tankan Index, Household Confidence, CN Caixin Manufacturing PMI, IR.SP/IT/FR/GE/EU Manufacturing PMI (F), GE Unemployment Rate/Change, IT Monthly Unemployment Rate, EU Money Supply, Unemployment Rate, UK Manufacturing PMI, Mortgage Approvals/Lending, BoE Consumer Credit, WR OPEC Meeting, US Manufacturing PMI (F), ISM Manufacturing PMI, Construction Spending, Fed's Clarida, PBOC's Yi, ECB's De Guindos to speak TuesdayAU Interest Rate Decision, JN 10-yr JGB Auction, GE Retail Sales, FR Government Budget Balance, SP unemployment Rate, UK Construction PMI, Nationwide HPI, 5-yr Gilt Auction, EU PPI, WR OPEC+ Meeting, US IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism, Weekly API Inventories, Total Vehicle Sales, NZ GDT Price Index, Fed's Williams, Mester, RBA's Lowe, BoE's Carney to speak Wednesday: AU/JN Services PMI, JN Trade Balance, Building Permits, CN Caixin Services PMI, SP/IT/FR/GE Services PMI (F),GE 5-yr Bobl Auction, UK Service PMI, BRC Shop Prices Index, US Challenger Job Cuts, ADP Employment Change, Weekly Jobless Claims, Trade Balance, Service PMI, Factory Orders, ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI, Weekly DoE Inventories, BoJ's Funo, BoE's Cunliffe, Broadbent, (Early US Close for Independence DAY) ThursdayUS Market Closed - Independence Day, AU Retail Sales, JN 30-yr JGB Auction, SP 3/5/10-yr Bond Auctions, EU Retail Sales, BoC's Lane, ECB's De Guindos to speak Friday: JN Leading Index, GE Factory Orders, Industrial Production, FR Trade Balance, Current Account, SP Consumer Confidence, UK Halifax House Price Index, US Non-Farm Payrolls, Average Hourly Earnings, Unemployment Rate, Baker Hughes Rig Count, CA Ivey PMI, Unemployment Rate, Employment Change



MACRO OVERVIEW - Anthony Cheung, Head of Market Analysis


Click on the time stamps below to jump to specific talking points:


  • An overview of calendar highlights (00:00)

  • Relief rally across asset classes as Trump revives China talks with tariff truce and break for Huawei (1:18)

  • OPEC+ move toward rolling over deal for another 6 to 9-months (9:34)

  • View on what the important data points are this week (13:53)

  • Technical review across the charts with Associate Sam North (16:39)


TECHNICAL OVERVIEW - Sam North, Associate


Below is a selection of annotated charts selected on the biases of the technical set-up aligned with the fundamental view given above.


S&P 500 future



WTI crude future



Gold future



EUR/USD future



Have a great week.


Regards,


Amplify team



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