Amplify Trading Weekly Strategy: 5th - 9th August 2019

Amplify Trading Weekly Strategy: 5th August - 9th August 2019


Monday: JN Services PMI, CN Caixin Services PMI, FR Industrial Production, SP/IT/FR/GE/EU Services PMI (F), SP Consumer Confidence, EU Sentix Investor Confidence, UK Services PMI, US Services PMI, CB Employment Trends Index, ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI, Total Vehicle Sales, NZ Employment Change, Unemployment Rate, Fed's Brainard speaks

Tuesday: AU RBA Interest Rate Decision, Trade Balance, JN Leading Index, 30-yr Auction, GE Factory Orders, UK BRC Retail Sales Monitor, 5-yr Gilt Auction, US IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism, JOLTs Job Openings, 3-yr Auction, Weekly API Inventories, NZ GDT Price Index (tentative), Fed's Bullard speaks

Wednesday: JN BoJ Summary of Opinions, NZ RBNZ Interest Rate Decision, GE Industrial Production, 5-yr Auction, FR Trade Balance, UK Halifax House Price Index, US 10-yr Auction, Weekly DoE Inventories, CA Ivey PMI, Fed's Evans, RBA's Bullock speaks

Thursday: JN Current Account, CN Trade Balance, SP Industrial Production, EU ECB Economic Bulletin, UK RICS House Price Balance, US Weekly Jobless Claims, Wholesale Inventories, 30-yr Auction, CA New Housing Price Index

Friday: JN GDP, AU RBA Monetary Policy Statement, CN CPI/PPI, GE Trade Balance, FP Industrial Production/Non-Farm Payrolls, IT Trade Balance, Fitch Updated Assessment on Italy, CPI, UK GDP, Business Investment, Construction Output, Industrial/Manufacturing Production, Trade Balance, NIESR GDP Estimate, US PPI, Baker Hughes Rig Count, CA Building Permits, Housing Starts, Employment Change, Unemployment Rate

MACRO OVERVIEW - Anthony Cheung, Head of Market Analysis (@AWMCheung)

An overview of the topics discussed in today's market briefing can be found below. Click on the time stamps to jump to specific sections of interest.

  • Introduction to the week ahead (00:00)

  • China fire back at Trump's tariffs, what have they announced and what does it mean for markets (02:00)

  • Markets now price in a 16.5% chance of a 50bps rate cut from the Fed in September (10:30)

  • Oil falls overnight as trade fears outweigh tensions in the Persian Gulf (11:15)

  • Boris Johnson ramps up fiscal spending as a looming general election looks likely (12:25)

  • Review of Calendar Highlights for the week (13:10)

  • Sam North Provides his technical take on the charts across asset classes (17:30)

TECHNICAL OVERVIEW – Sam North, Associate (@snorth19)

S&P 500 futures

Gold Futures

WTI Crude futures

EURUSD Futures

GBPUSD Futures

If you have any questions about the strategy, please feel free to email me directly or private message us on Twitter.

Have a great week and see you in the room.


Anthony & Sam

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